Candela Vazquez vs Dasha Ivanova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Vazquez’s recent second serve performance shows a slight edge, winning 44.44% of such points, compared to Ivanova’s 40.6%. How might this impact match outcomes? Given the high correlation with winning, it suggests a small advantage for Vazquez.
• In terms of return game stats, Ivanova leads slightly on opponent's second serve points, winning 45.99% versus Vazquez’s 41.24%. However, Vazquez outperforms Ivanova on first serve returns, with 37.86% over Ivanova’s 34.61%.
• Who performs better under pressure? Vazquez appears stronger in saving breakpoints at 49.06% compared to Ivanova’s 43.1%, indicating composure in critical moments.
• Looking at the past year, Vazquez has a more impressive match win rate at 74.19% (23/8), while Ivanova’s winning percentage is 55.32% (26/21). This suggests Vazquez's overall superior consistency.
• Surface performance shows Vazquez as significantly stronger on clay with a 64% win rate, while Ivanova is best on hard surfaces with a 62% win percentage. On clay, Ivanova's performance drops to a 50% win rate.
• Comparing event levels, Vazquez has been competing primarily at a higher level of tournaments, with a better win rate (61.11%) than Ivanova's performance in lower-tier tournaments (54.84%).
• Regarding opponent quality, Ivanova has faced higher-ranked adversaries, with an average opponent rank of 297.91 compared to Vazquez's 494.71.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Vazquez is more likely to prevail, having won 77% of such sets over the past year, significantly higher than Ivanova's 47%.
• Break point conversion rates give Vazquez an edge, converting 45.83% while Ivanova converts at 40.13%, making Vazquez more effective when opportunities arise.

Editorial Prediction (June 9, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming tennis match, both players show distinct strengths and weaknesses. Vazquez's superior second serve performance and breakpoint conversion rate offers a competitive advantage. These factors have a direct correlation to potential match outcomes, suggesting a slight edge for Vazquez.

Ivanova, on the other hand, exhibits resilience in return games, boasting a slightly better performance against opponents' second serves. However, Ivanova's struggle on clay courts and vulnerability in deciding sets may affect her chances against Vazquez, who has proven strong in critical match situations.

Considering the overall performance, win ratios, and surface preferences, Vazquez is poised as the likely favorite to win, particularly on clay, where Ivanova's history indicates lower performance. Vazquez's ability to maintain composure under pressure further reinforces the prediction that she is the more probable victor in this encounter.